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2026 World Cup Final Odds: Spain and France Lead the Race

With the 2026 FIFA World Cup on the horizon, betting odds reveal Spain and France as the top contenders to reach the final. This article breaks down the leading teams, surprising dark horses from the oddsboard, and historical context for long-shot runs, offering a professional overview for fans and bettors.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to be hosted across North America, promises a spectacular climax at New York New Jersey Stadium on July 19. After 103 matches, only two teams will compete for soccer's ultimate prize. As the tournament approaches, sportsbooks have released odds for which nations are most likely to reach the final. According to FanDuel Sportsbook, Spain and France currently share the top spot, but several other powerhouses and dark horses remain in contention.

New York New Jersey Stadium during a soccer match
New York New Jersey Stadium, host venue for the 2026 World Cup final.

The Co-Favorites: Spain and France

Spain and France are both listed at +240 odds to reach the World Cup final, making them the clear frontrunners. Spain's recent resurgence, blending youthful talent with experienced winners, has positioned them as a formidable force. France, the 2018 champions, boast incredible depth and a track record of success in major tournaments. Oddsmakers anticipate that at least one, if not both, of these European giants will feature in the title match.

Chasing Pack: England, Brazil, and Portugal

Behind the co-favorites, a trio of traditional heavyweights leads the chasing pack. England sits at +340, buoyed by a golden generation of players and a runner-up finish in the previous European Championship. Brazil, the most successful World Cup nation, is priced at +430, always a threat with their flair and history. Portugal, at +460, features a mix of veteran leadership and emerging stars, making them a dangerous contender.

England national football team warming up on a pitch
England national team during a training session ahead of the World Cup.

Defending Champions and European Powerhouses

Argentina, the reigning World Cup champions, are listed at +480, showing that oddsmakers respect their pedigree but see a more open field. Germany (+600) and the Netherlands (+750) remain strong candidates, with historic tournament pedigree and deep squads. Belgium (+950) and Norway (+1300) round out the notable contenders, with Norway's odds reflecting the impact of stars like Erling Haaland.

Dark Horses and Long Shots

The oddsboard also features several intriguing long shots. Colombia (+1600) and Uruguay (+2200) bring South American grit and talent. Co-hosts Mexico and the United States are both at +2200, with significantly shorter odds to reach the final than to win the tournament, reflecting their home advantage and potential to go deep. Switzerland (+2500) and Croatia (+2500) are experienced tournament sides, while Morocco (+2700) impressed in the last World Cup and could be a surprise package.

Croatian national football team celebrating a goal
Croatia celebrates a goal during a World Cup match.

Historical Context: Long Shot Runs

History shows that while no true long shot has ever won the World Cup, reaching the final is not impossible for underdogs. Croatia's remarkable run to the 2018 final, entering the tournament at 30-1 odds, serves as a prime example. Their journey rewarded those who believed in the 'Vatreni' and demonstrated that the final is accessible for disciplined, talented squads.

Conclusion

As the 2026 FIFA World Cup draws closer, the betting markets clearly favor Spain and France, but a deep field of contenders from England to Morocco keeps the race wide open. Fans and bettors should monitor team form, injuries, and tournament draws for potential value plays. Whether backing the favorites or taking a chance on a long shot, the path to the final in New Jersey promises drama and excitement.

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